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Determinants of long-term unemployment in early adulthood: A Finnish birth cohort study

Kerkelä M.; Øverland S.; Gissler M.; Halonen J.; Virtanen M.; Merikukka M.; Ristikari T.; Lallukka T.; Hiilamo H.

Determinants of long-term unemployment in early adulthood: A Finnish birth cohort study

Kerkelä M.
Øverland S.
Gissler M.
Halonen J.
Virtanen M.
Merikukka M.
Ristikari T.
Lallukka T.
Hiilamo H.
Katso/Avaa
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Elsevier Ltd
doi:10.1016/j.ssmph.2019.100410
URI
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235282731930014X
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Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on:
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi-fe2021042823907
Tiivistelmä

Cumulative contributions of social and health-related determinants to long-term unemployment during early working life among young adults are poorly understood. Therefore, we used four cumulative indices of both parental and own social and health-related determinants of such unemployment among a cohort which comprised a complete census of children born in Finland in 1987. The cohort participants were registered in the Medical Birth Register, and they were followed-up through 2015 (N = 46 521). We calculated predicted probabilities for long-term unemployment (> 12 months) when participants were 25–28 years. Moreover, we examined whether the associations differed by unemployment at the municipal level.

During the follow-up, 4.5% of women and 7.1% of men experienced long-term unemployment. All cumulative indices of parental and own social and health-related determinants predicted the probability of long-term unemployment. The greatest probabilities were observed for own social determinants, both in municipalities with high and low unemployment although the probabilities were higher in the high-unemployment municipalities. Of the individual determinants, poor school performance showed the strongest association with long-term unemployment among women (OR 6.65, 95% CI 5.21–8.55) and men (OR 3.70, 95% CI 2.96–4.67), after adjusting for other own social determinants. The results highlight the importance of life course social equality in the prevention of long-term unemployment in early adulthood.

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  • Rinnakkaistallenteet [19207]

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