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Examining the generalizability of research findings from archival data

Uhlmann Eric Luis; Delios Andrew; Clemente Elena Giulia; Chena Zhaowei; Dreberb Anna; Viganolag Domenico; Tan Hongbin; Generalizability Tests Forecasting Collaboration; Tao Wu; Wang Yong; Gordon Michael; Pfeiffer Thomas; Johnnesson Magnus

Examining the generalizability of research findings from archival data

Uhlmann Eric Luis
Delios Andrew
Clemente Elena Giulia
Chena Zhaowei
Dreberb Anna
Viganolag Domenico
Tan Hongbin
Generalizability Tests Forecasting Collaboration
Tao Wu
Wang Yong
Gordon Michael
Pfeiffer Thomas
Johnnesson Magnus
Katso/Avaa
Delios et al. 2022.pdf (843.2Kb)
Lataukset: 

National Academy of Science
doi:10.1073/pnas.2120377119
URI
https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2120377119
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Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on:
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi-fe2022091258546
Tiivistelmä

This initiative examined systematically the extent to which a large set of archival research findings generalizes across contexts. We repeated the key analyses for 29 original strategic management effects in the same context (direct reproduction) as well as in 52 novel time periods and geographies; 45% of the reproductions returned results matching the original reports together with 55% of tests in different spans of years and 40% of tests in novel geographies. Some original findings were associated with multiple new tests. Reproducibility was the best predictor of generalizability—for the findings that proved directly reproducible, 84% emerged in other available time periods and 57% emerged in other geographies. Overall, only limited empirical evidence emerged for context sensitivity. In a forecasting survey, independent scientists were able to anticipate which effects would find support in tests in new samples.

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