Complex energy futures. The use of Express Cross-Impact Technique (EXIT) with participatory expert workshops to analyse complex systems and interactions (Esitys International Conference on Advances on Clean Energy Research -konferenssissa, Bangkok 16.-18.4. 2016)
Jari Kaivo-oja; Jarmo Vehmas; Juha Panula-Ontto; Yrjö Majanne; Jyrki Luukkanen
Complex energy futures. The use of Express Cross-Impact Technique (EXIT) with participatory expert workshops to analyse complex systems and interactions
(Esitys International Conference on Advances on Clean Energy Research -konferenssissa, Bangkok 16.-18.4. 2016)
Jari Kaivo-oja
Jarmo Vehmas
Juha Panula-Ontto
Yrjö Majanne
Jyrki Luukkanen
Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on:
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi-fe2021042716150
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi-fe2021042716150
Tiivistelmä
The article presents a new Express Cross-Impact Technique (EXIT) which is suitable for the use in expert workshops for collecting data input and presenting the results. The new cross-impact method calculates the interactions of variables through multi-nodal impact chains. The method makes it possible to compare the original cross-impact matrix, where the direct impacts are presented, with the modified cross-impact matrix, where the interactions of the variables are taken into account. An example of electricity system with increased amount of intermittent wind and solar power supply is presented.
Kokoelmat
- Rinnakkaistallenteet [19207]