Scenario Adaptation for Creative and Transformative Innovation

Abstract

<p>In these times of crisis, it has been proposed that we need to consider wider more radical and even transformative innovation potentials to meet future challenges. Considering this, also futures scenarios should include more diverse interpretations within its work to aid in this endeavour. In this thesis, this challenge is explored by combining two innovation-rich arenas of the Creative and the Transformative that are represented by the Creative Economy and Green Growth, in order to widen the innovation potential. These constantly developing policy and rich discourse areas, are seen as a drivers and engines of growth. Combined these offer broader tools and perspectives in which to widen an understanding of future structural transformation. This type of transformed regime is explored through a proposed method scenario adaptation, that intertextually reads futures workshop and scenario results as text. that are read through innovation styles from creative economy and green growth literature (via a method of style matrix). Specifically, combined it is proposed that these flesh-out an alternative scene of a future sustainable system. This produces an adapted scenario in the form of a vignette. The results of the workshop, focused on one set scenario that was based on a future peer to peer energy setting. Beyond the successful renewable energy implications already expertly analysed in a wider Neo-Carbon Energy research project. One specific chosen scenario in its own right gives a glimpse into a future preferable sustainable regime. The research results highlighted themes of crisis and recovery, and important role of knowledge spillovers. The traits and characteristics of transformative agency reveal changes in values required to achieve an advanced future system, but also the challenges and their essential support systems. The desire of this study is to propose and demonstrate the method of scenario adaptation, that can envisage alternative future transformations.</p>