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Factors associated with all-cause mortality and morbidity of motorcycle crash-related neurological and musculoskeletal injuries in Uganda: the MOTOR cluster randomised trial ancillary study

Lule, Herman; Mugerwa, Micheal; Abio, Anne; Oguttu, Benson; Kakeeto, Andrew; Asiimwe, Daniel; Lekuya, Hervé Monka; Ssebuufu, Robinson; Kyamanywa, Patrick; Bärnighausen, Till; Wilson, Michael L.; Posti, Jussi P.

Factors associated with all-cause mortality and morbidity of motorcycle crash-related neurological and musculoskeletal injuries in Uganda: the MOTOR cluster randomised trial ancillary study

Lule, Herman
Mugerwa, Micheal
Abio, Anne
Oguttu, Benson
Kakeeto, Andrew
Asiimwe, Daniel
Lekuya, Hervé Monka
Ssebuufu, Robinson
Kyamanywa, Patrick
Bärnighausen, Till
Wilson, Michael L.
Posti, Jussi P.
Katso/Avaa
ip-2025-045737.full.pdf (393.1Kb)
Lataukset: 

BMJ
doi:10.1136/ip-2025-045737
URI
https://doi.org/10.1136/ip-2025-045737
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Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on:
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi-fe202601279247
Tiivistelmä

Introduction 

This study examined the factors linked to all-cause mortality and morbidity from neurological and musculoskeletal injuries during motorcycle accidents in Uganda.

Methods 

The study was part of a two-armed, parallel, multi-period, cluster-randomised controlled trial of 1003 motorcycle crash victims. Morbidity was assessed using various scoring systems, and mixed effects regression models were employed for analysis.

Results 

Ninety-day all-cause mortality was 9.2% (82/887). Factors associated with mortality included referral-to-dispatch >1 hour (OR 4.215 (1.802–9.858), p=0.001), Kampala Trauma Score (KTS) ≤6 (OR 7.696 (1.932–30.653), p=0.004), GCS 9–12 (OR 3.432 (1.194–9.870), p=0.022), GCS ≤8 (OR 6.919 (2.212–21.645), p=0.001), intra-axial lesions (OR 78.647 (9.871–626.587), p<0.001), extra-axial lesions (OR 11.933 (1.386–102.750), p=0.024), skull fracture (OR 11.366, (1.197–107.977), p=0.034) and craniotomy (OR 0.260 (0.095–0.706), p=0.008).

A percentage of 14.5% had unfavourable Glasgow Outcome Scale (1–3); associated factors included increasing age (OR 1.02 (1.013–1.045, p<.001), multiple injuries (OR 4.559 (1.185–17.531), p=0.027), KTS 7-8 (OR 2.755 (1.285–5.906), p=0.009), KTS ≤6 (OR 7.551 (2.815–20.255), p=0.001), GCS 9-12 (OR 4.07 (1.901–8.719), p=0.001), GCS ≤8 (OR 13.779 (5.643–33.645), p<0.001) and craniotomy (OR 0.149 (0.075–0.295), p<0.001).

Factors associated with unfavourable patient-reported musculoskeletal outcomes included being married (OR 1.984 (1.322–2.976), p=0.001), multiple injuries (OR 1.762 (1.001–3.100), p=0.049) and enrolment after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (OR 2.095 (1.199–3.659), p=0.009].

Conclusions 

The key determinants of mortality and adverse neurological and musculoskeletal injury outcomes observed in this study are essential for establishing core outcome sets in future research and predictive models.

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